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US

US-Taliban Acquiesce to Live and Let Live

M K Bhadrakumar l As the US and NATO troop withdrawal from Afghanistan enters the second week, certain trends are appearing on the security front as well as at the diplomatic and political level. The...
Saudi Arabia

Can Saudi Arabia and Iran Ease Tensions?

Bilateral talks between Saudi Arabia and Iran will not end their rivalry but could de-escalate conflict in areas where both have influence, including Yemen. News of rare talks between two of the Middle East’s biggest adversaries comes...
India

India Amidst Major Power Competition

Jawad Falak l On 7 April, the US Navy conducted a ‘navigation operation’ within Indian Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) without any intimation to India. To add insult to injury, the US 7th Fleet openly officially...
Ukraine

Why Does Ukraine Want War?

Andrew Korybko | Ukraine wants war with Russia due to a combination of domestic and international factors, but such a scenario would be disastrous for the Eastern European country and only serve the interests of...
US

Final US-Troops Withdrawal from Afghanistan

Zamir Awan l After two decades of fighting in Afghanistan, losing thousands of servicemen, losing trillion dollars, killing millions of innocent Afghans, destroying millions of homes, damaging Afghanistan completely, finally, the US accepted its defeat...
QUAD

Can Russia’s S-400 Sale to India Trigger QUAD Collapse?

Andrew Korybko | The US-led anti-Chinese QUAD alliance of itself, Australia, India, and Japan might be on the brink of collapse according to influential BJP ideologue Subramanian Swamy, who warned that Washington might expel New...
US

Afghanistan: A New Theater for Sino-US Cold War

M K Bhadrakumar l The “hidden agenda” of the war on terror in Afghanistan has been an open secret. The first inkling of its geopolitical character came when it transpired that even after installing a...
S-400

Why is US upset about Turkey’s S-400 Air Defense System?

TIC Analysis l Turkey is the first foreign recipient to receive 9M96E2 missiles. These are missiles with a range of up to 120 km, developed for the latest Russian medium-range system S-350 Vityaz, launched in...
source

Blue Gold: An Emerging Source of Global Conflicts

Adv Abdul Rasool Syed l Depleting potable water resources have sent alarm across the globe pertaining to the emergence of a new spree of future global conflicts in quest for occupying available water reservoirs of...
US

US: A Net Security-Provider in GCC?

Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates will likely seek alternative arms suppliers if the administration of US President Joe Biden follows through on canceling arms shipments to the Arab Gulf countries. In Biden’s first...
Syria

Syrian Quagmire: How Long and for what?

M K Bhadrakumar l In George Orwell’s novel Animal Farm, the ruling pigs led by Napoleon constantly rewrote history in order to justify and reinforce their own continuing power. The rewriting by the western powers of...
Australia-China

Emerging Australia-China Strategic Rivalry

With Australia-China relations at a low point and diplomatic tensions bleeding into the trade realm, Canberra's impending passage of a new law meant to limit Chinese government deals with subnational governments in Australia shows...
Wars

Ending the Endless US Wars?

The revelation that the United States has more forces than was publicly known in Syria could prove advantageous for President-elect Joe Biden’s strategy in the country if those troops aren’t first withdrawn by his...

Nagorno-Karabakh War and Azerbaijan’s Glorious Victory

Andrew Korybko | The end of the Nagorno-Karabakh War that was brought about by Armenia's sudden Russian-facilitated surrender following its total defeat on the battlefield is the perfect time for reviewing why so many folks...
Turkey

Turkey’s Eroding Position in Syria

TIC Analysis l Turkey is signaling its willingness to use proxies to secure its interests in Syria’s Idlib Province, but the positioning of Russian and Syrian forces will limit the likelihood of deeper Turkish military...
Nagorno-Karabakh

Nagorno-Karabakh in Flames: Background, International Reactions and Expectations

Arzu Bunyad, Ziya Kazimzada, Elnur Mammadov l Tensions between Azerbaijan and Armenia over Nagorno-Karabakh, one of the flashpoints in the post-Soviet space, date back when the days of the Soviet Union were numbered. It erupted as an...
multipolarirty

Emerging Multi-polarity and its Consequences

Adv Abdul Rasool Syed l “Make America great again” a slogan that formed the nucleus of trump’s electoral campaign vividly suggests that America is no more a great country. It is, in fact, an implicit...
Defense

UAE-Israel Ties May Get Abu Dhabi Advanced Weapons

The United Arab Emirates' desire to simultaneously upgrade its defense ties with Israel and the United States will probably create political controversy in both countries, though the benefits of deeper security cooperation with Abu...
Strategic Confusion

India’s Strategic Confusion

Jawad Falak l India recently withdrew from Kavkaz 2020 multinational exercise to be held in Russia in the third week of September, citing logistics difficulties due to covid-19 pandemic as the reason for its withdrawal....
Arctic Strategy

Toward a US Air Force Arctic Strategy

Oriental Review l On 21 July, the US Air Force published its Arctic Strategy. The release of the document itself is a first, since the Arctic has never been a separate area of focus for the...

Missile that could Upset Global Balance of Power

https://youtu.be/LXUpv3lk4xc The tests of the Zircon hypersonic missile, which Russian President Vladimir Putin “took out of the storeroom” a year and a half ago, are being successfully completed. The Defense Ministry said that the rocket was launched at...
Alpha Group

Russian Spetsnaz Alpha Close Quarter Combat Training

The prime unit in Russia is considered to be the FSB Alpha Group. The Alpha group shooting drills are insane and they aren’t even similar to their Western counterparts like Delta Force or Seal Team 6. The...

The Changing Balance of Power in South Asia

Rana Danish Nisar l The South Asian balance of power is in transition due to the changing contours of US policy in South Asia and the growing relationship between India and the US. The response...
Libya

The Next Phase of Libyan Civil War

Andrew Korybko | Many in the Mediterranean region are wondering whether Egypt will go through with its threatened military intervention in Libya if the UN-recognized and Turkish-backed Government of National Accord (GNA) attempts to capture...

Why Chinese Air Force will win against Indian Air Force?

Air Force of the People’s Liberation Army The Chinese Air Force occupies third place in the world in the number of military aircraft of all types , second only to the United States and Russia....
Galwan Valley

India and the Line of Control: Reducing Reputational Damage

Syed Ali Zia Jaffery l In a recent talk, Pakistani nuclear scholar, Dr. Rabia Akhtar remarked that, going forward, India might try to exact “Surrogate Deterrence” in the region. The term postulated that given India’s sheer inability...
Strategic

Strategic Transformation and Global Ramifications of Sino-Iranian Alliance

The central strategic transformation achieved by the the Sino-Iranian is straightforward: the opening of a second potential front against the US military. Now both the Straits of Hormuz and the South China Sea are...
India

Contextualizing India’s Nuclear Program

Anum Khan l India has been described in a variety of ways ranging from emerging power, global power, great power, would-be great power, major power, and regional power. However, this self-perception of India, by expanding...
Nagorno-Karabakh

What’s Behind the Flare-up in Nagorno-Karabakh?

The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict has long been regarded as a tinderbox in the heart of the South Caucasus – with serious implications for the wider region including Russia, Turkey and Iran. Each spring, when low-level...
Ladakh

China’s Master Stroke in Ladakh

Asif Haroon Raja l Mao Tse Tung described Tibet and Himalayas in 1950 in these words. “Tibet is China’s right hand palm, which is detached from its fingers of Ladakh, Nepal, Sikkim, Bhutan, Arunchal Pradesh...

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